Cody Blakeney, who leads research at Arcee AI, says 25-40% of extreme forecasts from effective altruists and accelerationists have materialized over the past 4-6 years
Bilal agreed that ongoing evaluation of radical scenarios is needed
#999Cody Blakeney@CODE_STARThis tweet being liked by some of the people that I saw say the crazy shit (that happened) doesn't make me feel better.
Cody Blakeney@code_starThe most maddening part of working in AI over the past 4-6 years is that you would hear the most insane shit from the EAs/accelerationists that in no way seemed grounded in reality, but then about 25-40% of it would actually happen. The rest wouldn't, and seemed stupid that anyone would have suggested it. So now I just spend my life trying to figure out which batshit predictions I need to prepare for.
#999Cody Blakeney@CODE_STARLike, I'm the weird one?
Cody Blakeney@code_starThe most maddening part of working in AI over the past 4-6 years is that you would hear the most insane shit from the EAs/accelerationists that in no way seemed grounded in reality, but then about 25-40% of it would actually happen. The rest wouldn't, and seemed stupid that anyone would have suggested it. So now I just spend my life trying to figure out which batshit predictions I need to prepare for.
Like, sorry I didn't take that meme video of Chika dancing in front of the AI capabilities timeline predicting x-risk seriously.
Cody Blakeney@code_starThe most maddening part of working in AI over the past 4-6 years is that you would hear the most insane shit from the EAs/accelerationists that in no way seemed grounded in reality, but then about 25-40% of it would actually happen. The rest wouldn't, and seemed stupid that anyone would have suggested it. So now I just spend my life trying to figure out which batshit predictions I need to prepare for.
#999Cody Blakeney@CODE_STARFor the life of me, I can't find this video even though it's seared into my memory. Can anyone help me out?
Cody Blakeney@code_starLike, sorry I didn't take that meme video of Chika dancing in front of the AI capabilities timeline predicting x-risk seriously.
#999Cody Blakeney@CODE_STARIn a few weeks I’ll probably have to explain to my wife how I lost money on calls for some extremely niche part of the supply chain because @SemiAnalysis_ had a really convincing video of @dylan522p talking about data centers in space with subway surfers playing below it so I could focus.
Cody Blakeney@code_starLike, sorry I didn't take that meme video of Chika dancing in front of the AI capabilities timeline predicting x-risk seriously.
@code_star 💯
Cody Blakeney@code_starThe most maddening part of working in AI over the past 4-6 years is that you would hear the most insane shit from the EAs/accelerationists that in no way seemed grounded in reality, but then about 25-40% of it would actually happen. The rest wouldn't, and seemed stupid that anyone would have suggested it. So now I just spend my life trying to figure out which batshit predictions I need to prepare for.