Sam Altman's shared OpenAI plan prompted the historical analysis.
@davidmanheim I'm of course more optimistic. But it is interesting that claiming AI is normal technology usually means implicitly assuming it is not going to be very impactful on society.
Link: https://davidmanheim.substack.com/p/if-ai-is-normal-technology-history
Link: https://davidmanheim.substack.com/p/if-ai-is-normal-technology-history
@anderssandberg Agreed - I'm not entirely convinced it goes badly for a long time. As I say near the end, the window could be brief, or I could be wrong for other reasons.
But it seems like almost all e/acc boosterism and most industry planning for the long term is effectively ASI denialism.
Sam Altman's shared OpenAI plan prompted the historical analysis.
@davidmanheim I'm of course more optimistic. But it is interesting that claiming AI is normal technology usually means implicitly assuming it is not going to be very impactful on society.
Link: https://davidmanheim.substack.com/p/if-ai-is-normal-technology-history