Based on 11 visible X reactions from 18 accounts; directional sample.
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@emollick ha, love this. it's the thing people forget about every "exponential" — steam engines, Moore's law, whatever. the curve is real until some boring physical limit shows up and eats it. i'm way more interested in guessing which wall we hit next than in drawing the line straight up.
@SGRodriques terrible take @SGRodriques, scaling law was never in conflict with paradigm shifts. in fact what happened after 1850 is a perfect example of scaling law for a broader vehicle-speed frontier. https://x.com/RogueCodeSama/status/2076368451992699097/photo/1
@emollick Agree, and terrible take from @SGRodriques, scaling law was never in conflict with paradigm shifts. in fact what happened after 1850 is a perfect example of scaling law for a broader vehicle-speed frontier. https://x.com/RogueCodeSama/status/2076367796653686991/photo/1
@emollick Calling Apollo 10 a steamship might be the funniest technically-correct description I've seen all week.
@emollick We’re beating the graph with this one 🗣️🗣️🔥🔥🔥
He showed 1850s steamboat math predicted 26,000 mph speeds by 2026.
@emollick ha, love this. it's the thing people forget about every "exponential" — steam engines, Moore's law, whatever. the curve is real until some boring physical limit shows up and eats it. i'm way more interested in guessing which wall we hit next than in drawing the line straight up.
@SGRodriques terrible take @SGRodriques, scaling law was never in conflict with paradigm shifts. in fact what happened after 1850 is a perfect example of scaling law for a broader vehicle-speed frontier. https://x.com/RogueCodeSama/status/2076368451992699097/photo/1
@emollick Agree, and terrible take from @SGRodriques, scaling law was never in conflict with paradigm shifts. in fact what happened after 1850 is a perfect example of scaling law for a broader vehicle-speed frontier. https://x.com/RogueCodeSama/status/2076367796653686991/photo/1
@emollick Calling Apollo 10 a steamship might be the funniest technically-correct description I've seen all week.
@emollick We’re beating the graph with this one 🗣️🗣️🔥🔥🔥
@SGRodriques Very interesting. Thanks for your history lesson.
We beat the graph! The fastest speed achieved by humans was 24,816 mph in 1969 by Apollo 10, which was not supposed to happen until 2005. (Apollo 10’s launch vehicle partly propelled itself by producing extremely hot water vapor, which makes it sort of like a steamship, right?) https://twitter.com/sgrodriques/status/2076312926684910060
The steamboat singularity. In 1850 it was realized that there was an empirical scaling law governing the horsepower of steam engines, and thus the speed of steamboats. By the year 2026, steamboats would achieve top speeds of 26,000mph. New York to London in 9 minutes. https://diffuse.one/p/h1-001
@SGRodriques @andrewwhite01 only if you are considering quadratic horses. could be even better with linear horses with Knee-hooF caches.
@SGRodriques orbit is 17.5k mph and apollo 10 hit just shy of 25k in 1969. not a bad extrapolation really, all things considered.
Based on 11 visible X reactions from 18 accounts; directional sample.
Ask a question below.
Published answers will appear here.
@SGRodriques Very interesting. Thanks for your history lesson.
We beat the graph! The fastest speed achieved by humans was 24,816 mph in 1969 by Apollo 10, which was not supposed to happen until 2005. (Apollo 10’s launch vehicle partly propelled itself by producing extremely hot water vapor, which makes it sort of like a steamship, right?) https://twitter.com/sgrodriques/status/2076312926684910060
The steamboat singularity. In 1850 it was realized that there was an empirical scaling law governing the horsepower of steam engines, and thus the speed of steamboats. By the year 2026, steamboats would achieve top speeds of 26,000mph. New York to London in 9 minutes. https://diffuse.one/p/h1-001
@SGRodriques @andrewwhite01 only if you are considering quadratic horses. could be even better with linear horses with Knee-hooF caches.
@SGRodriques orbit is 17.5k mph and apollo 10 hit just shy of 25k in 1969. not a bad extrapolation really, all things considered.