of course i understand the second order effects. i just don’t agree with the world anthropic wants. i think it is darker, worse, and not nearly as safe as anthropic claims it is.
i much prefer a world where progress is slow and diffuse, yet uncontrollable. capital consolidation is one of the biggest factors driving capability speed. if the secrets are out and models are distillable by default, margins get compressed, clusters get smaller, inference is cheap, training runs focus more on specialization than god models. the world gets to build the ai future together.
i am unsympathetic to the arguments about china. they’re gonna build their chips eventually. we are racing to out-accelerate them and build an insurmountable lead and let a couple people be lightcone king in the name of western liberal values as a side effect. and then what? it’s dark. i will keep fighting against it.


