Elon Musk's X posts forecasting roughly $1 trillion in SpaceX revenue by 2030, with even higher figures the year after, arrive while the company is deep in its S-1 registration process ahead of a planned IPO. Finance writer Byrne Hobart points out that these standalone projections sit outside the safe-harbor language already included in the filing, raising the possibility that SpaceX would need to amend its prospectus to keep disclosures consistent.
@ByrneHobart Ha yeah I saw that too and was like “huh, that’s a pretty specific forward-looking statement about revenue at a certain date”
I'm not a securities lawyer, but I think they may technically have to file an updated prospectus with this guidance. Also, I think there's no safe harbor here as there would be with regular guidance. Fun times.
Because the company is in registration, any public revenue target from the CEO can be viewed as an additional offer to investors, so the absence of matching cautionary language in the tweet itself is what Hobart flags as the core issue.
No SEC comment letter or updated filing tied to the June 14 posts has surfaced yet, leaving observers to wonder whether regulators will treat the statements as routine hype or push for corrective disclosure before the listing moves forward.
Many users dismissed Musk's SpaceX revenue projection above $1T by 2031 as unrealistic or a deliberate legal provocation, while directing insults at critics questioning it.
@elonmusk @JonErlichman That means SpaceX to $20k a share lets go!!!
That revenue will be extremely profitable in al aspects. Even the doubters will have to sux it up and buy more shares. 🤣🔥💯🚀
I think SpaceX $SPCX can do even better than $1 T revenue by 2030. @SpaceX
If SpaceX gets 10 GW in 2028-2029 and 100 GW in 2029-2030 and the Rubin or Feynman chips are being launched and rented then it would be even more than what I project with the 1.8T to get towards $7 trillion.
@JonErlichman I think SpaceX might be able to reach approximately $1T revenue in 2030
I like Elon a lot, but he’s often full of shit. Especially with time! no way Space X hits $1 trillion in revenue by 2030. I’ll bet you Elon. How much can we bet that Space X will not hit $1 trillion in revenue in the year 2030. Not cumulative from here. $1 trillion total revenue in the year 2030. No way. We can bet and donate the winnings to a charity of our choice.
@elonmusk @JonErlichman You're now a public company, can't just say shit like this anymore.
Need to do it via correct market announcements.
@elonmusk @JonErlichman How about Tesla 2030?
@ByrneHobart Assumes willingness of SEC to go after him (again)
I'm not a securities lawyer, but I think they may technically have to file an updated prospectus with this guidance. Also, I think there's no safe harbor here as there would be with regular guidance. Fun times.
Here is comes , as expected, pie in the sky dream. Give us projection for tsla too. When will robotaxi scale? Where is v3 optimus demo?
TSLA investors, be careful, he would want to dilute the shit out of your stock for excessively overpriced space x, right when tsla is about to change it’s business model.
@elonmusk @JonErlichman Where do you see this coming from by 2030? Broadband and Mobile mostly? Big % in AI?
Starlink is the core engine: ~10M subs & ~$11B of the $18.7B 2025 revenue. Scale via global coverage, direct-to-cell (w/ carriers), aviation/maritime/enterprise + Starshield gov deals. Volume + high incremental margins drive it.
Starship supercharges everything—massive cheap launches deploy way more sats faster for capacity, plus new high-volume launch revenue & future markets.
Reusability flywheel + demand = the path. $1T is aggressive (Morgan Stanley ~$330B) but plausible on execution.
@elonmusk @JonErlichman I bought into the IPO because I want to bet on a positive future for humanity and a company that does awesome shit on a daily basis.
A good outcome for the stock price would just be a bonus.
@elonmusk @JonErlichman If it did 1T by 2030 guess what the share price would be
@elonmusk @JonErlichman I think you're making up shit to boost your share prices and you personal wealth
@elonmusk @JonErlichman Biggest flimflam in all of history. You’re Doing zero created zero military intelligence’s created your fake “genius” bio. Bragging yet using 20th century WW2 era nazi chemical rockets. Only reason they gave you a trillion. Useful idiot. To bs consumers
@elonmusk @JonErlichman Who will be handing over that $1T to SpaceX in 2030?
@elonmusk @JonErlichman The only way I see this is if Elon is considering it after merger with TSLA and includes Optimus revenues.
@elonmusk @JonErlichman 2.5 trillion sir ~ I’m sure of that
@elonmusk @JonErlichman Wow… earlier than many would expect. What will it be comprised of?
@elonmusk @Micro2Macr0 @JonErlichman Here it comes, the constant pie in the sky projection to justify valuation. It’s just too obvious, TSLA investors, be careful, he is about to dilute the shit out of your stock if you support merger.
@ArcanesValor It looks like guidance to me.
