20h ago

Founder Cites Eliezer Yudkowsky's 2016 Skepticism On Turing Test Before Doom

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Original post
OPMatthew Barnett#1343Matthew Barnett@MATTHEWJBAR

He said this in the comment section of this post: https://www.econlib.org/archives/2016/03/so_far_my_respo.html

12:37 AM · May 23, 2026 View on X
REPLYMatthew Barnett#1343Matthew Barnett@MATTHEWJBAR

@BethMayBarnes I think it's unclear whether current systems would pass such a test. It depends a lot on how such a test is conducted.

But I think it's ultimately going to be a wrong prediction, under just about any reasonable real-world operationalization of the claim.

Elizabeth BarnesElizabeth Barnes@BethMayBarnes

Huh, seems pretty reasonable to me, maybe depends on exactly what you're imagining by 'no holds barred'? Seems plausible with spiky capability profile there'll still be things (that can be tested in conversation) where models are detectably worse than humans, or weird behavioral artifacts from training they can't suppress, even when they're pretty superhuman overall

9:36 PM · May 23, 2026 · 435 Views
9:50 PM · May 23, 2026 · 115 Views