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The case against writing off xAI in the AI race

One post describes xAI as three years old—half Anthropic's age and a quarter of OpenAI's—and argues that the AI race is not over.

martin_casadoMA
Beff (e/acc)B(
Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞)T(
7 Sources, 20d ago, first seen 20d ago

TLDR

In a September 23, 2026 post, a user argues that xAI's relative youth is a reason not to count it out against Anthropic and OpenAI. The post also says Elon Musk helped start OpenAI, served as a co-chair and contributed more than $40 million to it, while SpaceX is providing computing resources to Anthropic. The argument stops short of predicting an xAI victory: whether it will be the best, the author acknowledges, remains to be seen.

Combined views

45.2K

7 Sources, first seen 20d ago

1.3K likes64 comments84 saves2.5K reposts

Combined views

45.2K

7 Sources, first seen 20d ago

1.3K likes64 comments84 saves2.5K reposts

Sentiment

Positive26.6%73.4%Negative

Summary

Replies dismissed optimistic claims about xAI or SpaceX reaching pole position in AI via compute and RSI, arguing instead that the companies lag behind Google or that Elon’s statements lack credibility.

Based on 26 sentiment-bearing replies from 26 accounts across 4 conversations.

Featured Source

Sentiment

Positive26.6%73.4%Negative

Summary

Replies dismissed optimistic claims about xAI or SpaceX reaching pole position in AI via compute and RSI, arguing instead that the companies lag behind Google or that Elon’s statements lack credibility.

Based on 26 sentiment-bearing replies from 26 accounts across 4 conversations.

7 Sources

Kekius Maximus@Kekius_SagePeople seem to forget something. Elon helped start OpenAI and was one of its co-chairs. He contributed more than $40 million to it. Now SpaceX is providing compute to Anthropic, even though Anthropic is a direct competitor in the same AI race. Whether xAI will be the best remains to be seen. But Elon says he will never give up. xAI is only 3 years old. Anthropic is twice its age. OpenAI four times. And people are already acting like the race is over.20d
Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞)@teortaxesTex> If our second derivative remains strong, SpaceX will reach pole position in about 6 month This is a fair argument in the abstract but I can't shake the feeling that I've been hearing this stuff for over a year now, and I'm not sure the Grok 3 or 4 era gap was wider than today19d
Mikhail Parakhin@MParakhin#1, #3 are obviously correct. #2 never fails to trigger me, though: let’s stop dressing our GPU shortages as some sort of a good, by-design thing. Me wants me that toaster! :-) More seriously, you never know how difficult the problem is until you solve it. Advisor models FTW!19d
Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_aiRT @rohanpaul_ai: A lot of frontier AI work is now concrete, cooling and the other kind of transformers.18d
martin_casado@martin_casadoRT @elonmusk: @vasalex93 1. We will keep accelerating. Our AI efforts are only 3 years old, vs 6 and 10 years old for Anthropic and OpenAI.…18d
Beff (e/acc)@beffjezosIf you believe in RSI, then asymptotically it's purely about how much compute you have, and Elon is literally speedrunning building a fucking Dyson Swarm I wouldn't bet against Elon.18d
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    7 Sources

    Kekius Maximus@Kekius_SagePeople seem to forget something. Elon helped start OpenAI and was one of its co-chairs. He contributed more than $40 million to it. Now SpaceX is providing compute to Anthropic, even though Anthropic is a direct competitor in the same AI race. Whether xAI will be the best remains to be seen. But Elon says he will never give up. xAI is only 3 years old. Anthropic is twice its age. OpenAI four times. And people are already acting like the race is over.20d
    Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞)@teortaxesTex> If our second derivative remains strong, SpaceX will reach pole position in about 6 month This is a fair argument in the abstract but I can't shake the feeling that I've been hearing this stuff for over a year now, and I'm not sure the Grok 3 or 4 era gap was wider than today19d
    Mikhail Parakhin@MParakhin#1, #3 are obviously correct. #2 never fails to trigger me, though: let’s stop dressing our GPU shortages as some sort of a good, by-design thing. Me wants me that toaster! :-) More seriously, you never know how difficult the problem is until you solve it. Advisor models FTW!19d
    Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_aiRT @rohanpaul_ai: A lot of frontier AI work is now concrete, cooling and the other kind of transformers.18d
    martin_casado@martin_casadoRT @elonmusk: @vasalex93 1. We will keep accelerating. Our AI efforts are only 3 years old, vs 6 and 10 years old for Anthropic and OpenAI.…18d
    Beff (e/acc)@beffjezosIf you believe in RSI, then asymptotically it's purely about how much compute you have, and Elon is literally speedrunning building a fucking Dyson Swarm I wouldn't bet against Elon.18d
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