Bojan Tunguz predicts self-improving AI will arrive this year, disputing Lisan al Gaib's 2027 timeline

We‘ll be there before the end of this year.

@scaling01 we’ll look back on AI 2027 as highly conservative

@scaling01 And we are by now far more advanced. A country of genius by november 2026.

@scaling01 its actually crazy how real the prediction gets

@scaling01 Brother not even one year this might be a couple months.

@scaling01 so excited

@scaling01 This gave me vertigo

@scaling01 You know, if we were facing the end of the world I'd kinda expect polymaths to lock themselves in rooms getting AI psychosis all day to make new, novel works of art.

@scaling01 Training data pipelines are already agent-ish in principle. First we engineer out the ish, in the meantime smart enough agent will start delivering results orchestrating this. I expect a surprisingly smooth transition.

@scaling01 What's the difference between SIP and AGI

@scaling01 Lisan al Gaib 🫡

@scaling01 We are on track, exciting and scary

@insanowskyy @scaling01 and scary

@insanowskyy @scaling01 Not as crazy as Kurzweil's

@scaling01 Which country

@contracorrenteX @scaling01 Anthropic? Or Openai?

@scaling01 we need polymarket market on this now lmaoo

@contracorrenteX @scaling01 Agree.

@scaling01 Scary, how are you planning to deal with it?