The risk of correct ideas winning out too late
A commenter recalls a 2017 operational security seminar at FHI, saying AI was becoming strategic and warranted some concern, but most focus was elsewhere.
TLDR
A commenter believes correct ideas tend to win out in the long run, but warns that the wait can be very long: for some risks, “we may be all dead before convergence.” They recall an operational security (OPSEC) seminar at FHI in 2017, when they saw reasons for concern as AI was becoming strategic, but say most focus was elsewhere.
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The risk of correct ideas winning out too late
A commenter recalls a 2017 operational security seminar at FHI, saying AI was becoming strategic and warranted some concern, but most focus was elsewhere.
TLDR
A commenter believes correct ideas tend to win out in the long run, but warns that the wait can be very long: for some risks, “we may be all dead before convergence.” They recall an operational security (OPSEC) seminar at FHI in 2017, when they saw reasons for concern as AI was becoming strategic, but say most focus was elsewhere.