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    Tomasz Tunguz Estimates Snowflake AI Revenue from Margin Guidance

    Investor links Snowflake margin cut to AI workloads and estimates token consumption.

    TT
    1 Source, 27d ago, first seen 27d ago

    TLDR

    Tomasz Tunguz posted that Snowflake management lowered product gross margin guidance from 76% to 74% citing fast-growing AI workloads. The venture capitalist calculated that the 200 basis point compression, assuming GPU inference margins of 25% to 35%, points to $60M to $75M per quarter in direct AI token consumption or $240M to $300M ARR. He attached a static sensitivity heatmap chart titled Snowflake Implied AI Revenue.

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    1 Source, first seen 27d ago

    Combined views

    11.8K

    1 Source, first seen 27d ago

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    11 comments
    64 saves
    9 reposts

    Sentiment

    Positive——Negative

    Summary

    Not enough discussion yet.

    No sentiment analysis available yet.

    1 Source

    @ttunguzHow large is Snowflake's AI revenue? Management lowered product gross margin guidance from 76% → 74% due to "fast-growing AI workloads." If GPU inference runs at ~25%–35% gross margins, that 200 bps compression implies ~$60M–$75M/quarter (~$240M–$300M ARR) in direct AI token consumption.

    1 Source

    @ttunguzHow large is Snowflake's AI revenue? Management lowered product gross margin guidance from 76% → 74% due to "fast-growing AI workloads." If GPU inference runs at ~25%–35% gross margins, that 200 bps compression implies ~$60M–$75M/quarter (~$240M–$300M ARR) in direct AI token consumption.
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