@bayeslord the real singularity is when we catch up to around the time the first interdimensional time machine is built and Disclosure happens. the ai singularity is fake bullshit

@bayeslord I still feel like kurzweil was on point with the 2040s prediction from years ago

@bayeslord Centuries

@bayeslord two weeks

@JaimeOrtega Doubt

@bayeslord 1 more year for RSI, then 1 more for AGI, after that. 2 years for people to build the factorys that build robots for AGI. and 1 more year for the robots to build data centers, and 2 more years for ASI. 7 give or take in years.

@bayeslord It will always feel like we're approaching it. Humanity's ability to normalize change will always keep it just around the corner. The goal posts will shift forever.

@bayeslord Let’s say we get a median “century of progress in 10 years” starting in 2027-28, and we keep the same pace or progress after. 20 years from now, we’ll be the equivalent of ≈900 years ahead.

TLDR : It’s just going to be one big ride, and won’t really ‘end’ (unless we fuck it up)

@bayeslord part of it is the process of duplicating real world systems and concretes in a digital space enabled by competent AI

so a few years at least

@bayeslord Never happens in the Vingean sense, I hope, such that our models remain coherent even as we integrate with superhuman tools and boom into the cosmos.

@bayeslord Currently thinking it's gonna be a slow singularity, maybe 5 to 10 years post ASI for the world to get post scarcity. Could be more, but ASI can be.. persuasive.

@bayeslord let's get continual/few shot learning first. From then maybe 10 years? Just ballparking a lot of simulations and eventually human trials will need to be run, and there is a physical limit to the amount of robots that can be built at any given time

@CharlesBanks99 @bayeslord I think we're going to have a lot of radical technology before the 2040s no doubt. But the actual idea of true singularity with an event horizon and parabolic infinity, 2040s makes sense

@bayeslord What is your definition of singularity? Do you mean human singularity, tech singularity, a singularity that includes both, an informational singularity, or something else?

@JteveSob @bayeslord I feel that we're going to manifest this konto existence far faster.

This is not an industry or economic cycle we observe as bystanders, the entire global tech community has eyes on it 👀

@bayeslord Jesus, an alien and the singularity walked into a bar. No one noticed.

@bayeslord 2029, the only issue will be hardware and resources

@bayeslord Already here broski :) mmm maybe like 2 weeks agos give or take ¯\_(ツ)_/¯,cant really confirm ,just a fractal mages monkey brain intuition

@bayeslord we’ve been in a singularity since the bronze age so hopefully soon

@bayeslord I think it’s more of a government and business making sure they can maintain control with force or threats before allowing people to have enough to break out of the broken system.