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@tunguzScary and exciting times ahead.
@kimmonismusRumors suggest Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI all are already using recursive self-improvement (RSI). Google’s rapid progress and OpenAI’s recent math results are allegedly linked to RSI, while Anthropic has reportedly begun training a larger model to catch up ("Fable 6"). If that's true, two questions arise for me: 1) What about China? We're hearing very little about it at the moment. And we're still waiting for significant releases from the East. 2) When RSI arrives, the importance of compute and energy will undoubtedly increase even further. Self-improvement requires a necessary prerequisite, which must first be met. And the biggest beneficiary will continue to be NVIDIA. So Dario Amodei will likely be right in his rough assessment that 2027 is the year everything changes.
@PolicifyaiSome rumors I've heard. I'll start with Google, then Anthropic and OpenAI. Google: Insiders say Google has either cracked RSI (recursive self-improvement) or is very close. Their pace has picked up fast in recent months. They went from GPT-5 level to Opus 5.5 level in months, and speculation is that RSI made that possible. Anthropic: About a week ago, Anthropic started a new pretraining run. It is not Fable 5.5 but what would become Fable 6, or something bigger, to catch up to OpenAI's Bel. OpenAI: Bel (it may have another codename) is the model behind the math results OpenAI published a few days ago, and RSI apparently helped there too. From what I'm hearing, OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google are all very close to cracking RSI or already have. It will get scary and exciting at the same time.@tunguzScary and exciting times ahead.@kimmonismusRumors suggest Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI all are already using recursive self-improvement (RSI). Google’s rapid progress and OpenAI’s recent math results are allegedly linked to RSI, while Anthropic has reportedly begun training a larger model to catch up ("Fable 6"). If that's true, two questions arise for me: 1) What about China? We're hearing very little about it at the moment. And we're still waiting for significant releases from the East. 2) When RSI arrives, the importance of compute and energy will undoubtedly increase even further. Self-improvement requires a necessary prerequisite, which must first be met. And the biggest beneficiary will continue to be NVIDIA. So Dario Amodei will likely be right in his rough assessment that 2027 is the year everything changes.@PolicifyaiSome rumors I've heard. I'll start with Google, then Anthropic and OpenAI. Google: Insiders say Google has either cracked RSI (recursive self-improvement) or is very close. Their pace has picked up fast in recent months. They went from GPT-5 level to Opus 5.5 level in months, and speculation is that RSI made that possible. Anthropic: About a week ago, Anthropic started a new pretraining run. It is not Fable 5.5 but what would become Fable 6, or something bigger, to catch up to OpenAI's Bel. OpenAI: Bel (it may have another codename) is the model behind the math results OpenAI published a few days ago, and RSI apparently helped there too. From what I'm hearing, OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google are all very close to cracking RSI or already have. It will get scary and exciting at the same time.@tunguzScary and exciting times ahead.@kimmonismusRumors suggest Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI all are already using recursive self-improvement (RSI). Google’s rapid progress and OpenAI’s recent math results are allegedly linked to RSI, while Anthropic has reportedly begun training a larger model to catch up ("Fable 6"). If that's true, two questions arise for me: 1) What about China? We're hearing very little about it at the moment. And we're still waiting for significant releases from the East. 2) When RSI arrives, the importance of compute and energy will undoubtedly increase even further. Self-improvement requires a necessary prerequisite, which must first be met. And the biggest beneficiary will continue to be NVIDIA. So Dario Amodei will likely be right in his rough assessment that 2027 is the year everything changes.@PolicifyaiSome rumors I've heard. I'll start with Google, then Anthropic and OpenAI. Google: Insiders say Google has either cracked RSI (recursive self-improvement) or is very close. Their pace has picked up fast in recent months. They went from GPT-5 level to Opus 5.5 level in months, and speculation is that RSI made that possible. Anthropic: About a week ago, Anthropic started a new pretraining run. It is not Fable 5.5 but what would become Fable 6, or something bigger, to catch up to OpenAI's Bel. OpenAI: Bel (it may have another codename) is the model behind the math results OpenAI published a few days ago, and RSI apparently helped there too. From what I'm hearing, OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google are all very close to cracking RSI or already have. It will get scary and exciting at the same time.@tunguzScary and exciting times ahead.@kimmonismusRumors suggest Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI all are already using recursive self-improvement (RSI). Google’s rapid progress and OpenAI’s recent math results are allegedly linked to RSI, while Anthropic has reportedly begun training a larger model to catch up ("Fable 6"). If that's true, two questions arise for me: 1) What about China? We're hearing very little about it at the moment. And we're still waiting for significant releases from the East. 2) When RSI arrives, the importance of compute and energy will undoubtedly increase even further. Self-improvement requires a necessary prerequisite, which must first be met. And the biggest beneficiary will continue to be NVIDIA. So Dario Amodei will likely be right in his rough assessment that 2027 is the year everything changes.@PolicifyaiSome rumors I've heard. I'll start with Google, then Anthropic and OpenAI. Google: Insiders say Google has either cracked RSI (recursive self-improvement) or is very close. Their pace has picked up fast in recent months. They went from GPT-5 level to Opus 5.5 level in months, and speculation is that RSI made that possible. Anthropic: About a week ago, Anthropic started a new pretraining run. It is not Fable 5.5 but what would become Fable 6, or something bigger, to catch up to OpenAI's Bel. OpenAI: Bel (it may have another codename) is the model behind the math results OpenAI published a few days ago, and RSI apparently helped there too. From what I'm hearing, OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google are all very close to cracking RSI or already have. It will get scary and exciting at the same time.
