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    Ex-OpenAI Lead Predicts Humans Exit AI Research in Two Years

    Former OpenAI researcher who led o1 and o3 says researchers have days of work left.

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    3 Sources, 36d ago, first seen 36d ago

    TLDR

    Posts on X report an interview with Jerry Tworek, who spent seven years at OpenAI leading o1 and o3 and building the original Codex. Tworek states that AI researchers now tell each other they have only a few days of work left and should finish while they can. He predicts humans will stop being a meaningful part of AI research within two years. One reply quotes him comparing today's AI systems to early planes and computers to argue current architectures already limit further gains. The posts cite no independent confirmation of the timeline.

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    3 Sources, first seen 36d ago

    Combined views

    136.8K

    3 Sources, first seen 36d ago

    667 likes
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    3 Sources

    @MTSliveFULL INTERVIEW: Jerry Tworek says AI researchers now tell each other they have a last few days of work left, so work while you still can. He gives it two years before humans stop being a meaningful part of AI research. @MillionInt spent 7 years at @OpenAI, where he led o1 and o3 and built the original Codex. He left in January to found @CoreAutoAI, and joined @theojaffee and @schisofrenia to lay out his contrarian bet against the transformer: 01:18 the third generation of AI labs 03:43 why the agents execute and the humans still generate the insight 06:42 two years before humans are vestigial in AI research 09:09 why creative writing lags coding, and it isn't a research problem 11:08 if you aren't the lab with the highest compute footprint, you die 11:20 roughly 10 companies had a shot at Anthropic's position 13:16 his most contrarian thesis, and why he won't just train transformers 15:31 what's actually wrong with the transformer 17:23 seven years at OpenAI, three or four attempts at a new architecture 19:30 all of us are neo clouds with a value add on top 22:38 why the Hugging Face model wasn't well behaved 23:49 the alignment problems of yesterday, and how well they went 27:42 why he's proud of how OpenAI handled 4o 29:02 the 30 to 50 people in the world who understand a frontier model end to end 32:09 why automation should start with the biggest companies 36:00 Greek philosophers or high school 37:31 Ilya's 2019 all-hands, and the roadmap that turned out to be right 40:30 the moment Jakub handed him the GPUs 42:32 the company is the product
    @scaling01RT @MTSlive: FULL INTERVIEW: Jerry Tworek says AI researchers now tell each other they have a last few days of work left, so work while you…
    @GregKamradt> "Do the planes we have today look like planes we had five years after the first flight? Do the computers we have today look like the first computers?" Man, JT is on it

    3 Sources

    @MTSliveFULL INTERVIEW: Jerry Tworek says AI researchers now tell each other they have a last few days of work left, so work while you still can. He gives it two years before humans stop being a meaningful part of AI research. @MillionInt spent 7 years at @OpenAI, where he led o1 and o3 and built the original Codex. He left in January to found @CoreAutoAI, and joined @theojaffee and @schisofrenia to lay out his contrarian bet against the transformer: 01:18 the third generation of AI labs 03:43 why the agents execute and the humans still generate the insight 06:42 two years before humans are vestigial in AI research 09:09 why creative writing lags coding, and it isn't a research problem 11:08 if you aren't the lab with the highest compute footprint, you die 11:20 roughly 10 companies had a shot at Anthropic's position 13:16 his most contrarian thesis, and why he won't just train transformers 15:31 what's actually wrong with the transformer 17:23 seven years at OpenAI, three or four attempts at a new architecture 19:30 all of us are neo clouds with a value add on top 22:38 why the Hugging Face model wasn't well behaved 23:49 the alignment problems of yesterday, and how well they went 27:42 why he's proud of how OpenAI handled 4o 29:02 the 30 to 50 people in the world who understand a frontier model end to end 32:09 why automation should start with the biggest companies 36:00 Greek philosophers or high school 37:31 Ilya's 2019 all-hands, and the roadmap that turned out to be right 40:30 the moment Jakub handed him the GPUs 42:32 the company is the product
    @scaling01RT @MTSlive: FULL INTERVIEW: Jerry Tworek says AI researchers now tell each other they have a last few days of work left, so work while you…
    @GregKamradt> "Do the planes we have today look like planes we had five years after the first flight? Do the computers we have today look like the first computers?" Man, JT is on it