/AI8h ago

NBER study of 100,000 developers finds AI tools boost commits by up to 180% but shipped software by 30% to 50%

The gap explains high token consumption without visible software output.

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Florian Ederer
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Séb Krier#505
Original postSéb Krier#505
Florian Ederer@florianederer

Large productivity gains from AI don't lead to equally big gains in software.

+40%/+140%/+180% commits from autocomplete/interactive/autonomous agents but only +50%/+30% projects/releases

And does this new software get used by consumers? Not really. It's invisible/irrelevant.

5:49 AM · Jun 1, 2026 · 33.5K Views
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