At Rackspace, before I was employed there, a truck hit our datacenter taking it down for a day (Rackspace was one of the big datacenter companies of the day about 15 years ago). Costing millions of dollars and taking down a good chunk of the Internet. (I was its main evangelist for seven years).
Today community after community is blocking datacenter building.
And even if we could build all the datacenters we want, getting the power for them, is a real problem.
Finally, how do you connect earth-bound datacenters to humans?
Fiber.
But anyone with a boat and anchor could dig those up, taking many services with it.
All these problems are solved by putting datacenters in space.
Putting datacenters overhead ensures we get the AI compute that we need.
And makes it far more resilient against nation-state meddling.
One last thing, these datacenters will be small compared to the ones here on earth, but would be spread around the earth.
SpaceX laid out the pattern, by putting 10,000 Starlink satellites up. These would hook up to Starlink via lasers, and would build a decentralized grid.
If one, or even 10, failed, everything would just route around the damage.
I once spent a lot of time in a Google datacenter. Surrounded by stacks and stacks of computers. Many of them were unplugged. "Why are they unplugged?"
"Oh, those are ones that no longer work, we just unplug them and leave them there until enough fail that we put in a new rack."
We want lots of startups building cool things, like robots to do lots of things? We need reliable datacenters to run them.
Bullish.
And, another Rackspace lesson: when it went IPO it went up, but then went down for months before heading back up again.
If you are investing in SpaceX (I'm not, I don't do IPOs, too risky for my risk profile, especially on such a highly valued stock) have a long term conviction, and stick in even if stock goes down, which is probably will.
I'll jump in on dips.
We are at the very beginning of putting these things in space. Eventually the exponents kick in and things will go back up. But might be a few years.
But I know plenty who have already invested, most of them are staying in because they see the long game. And I know others who are buying this week.
Either way, this IPO is gonna be quite something to watch.
Out of all the IPOs coming this year I'm most bullish on the long term.
And I'm most bullish on X, see many things it can do to improve its stance in the world, and it will make the "brains" of @Tesla_Optimus. Many people don't get that either. But in five years when you are talking to an Optimus you will be talking to Grok, from SpaceX.
So I see many reasons that SpaceX will see increases in business over the next decade and we haven't even talked about the government contracts that are coming that I keep hearing about from space entrepreneurs in San Francisco.
I wish my dad were alive to see this. He built military satellites for Lockheed Martin for decades. He'd flip out about what SpaceX is planning.