In a post on X, Andrew Curran said the AI 2027 team has published a new scenario called AI 2040. A quote-post from @teortaxesTex framed the document's default path as a verified U.S.-China slowdown rather than a race to superintelligence, while noting that other branches still include outcomes like racing to ASI. So far, the public evidence is the launch post, the scenario site it links to, and the conversation around it on X.