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The case for using stated and revealed preferences to forecast Chinese AI decisions
A poster argues US-based AI forecasters failed to predict Chinese AI decisions and should rely less on “mind-reading.”
TLDR
A poster argues that US-based AI forecasters’ failure to predict Chinese AI decisions is a reason to favor analysis of stated and revealed preferences over “mind-reading.” They say translation and literature searches are easier than ever, leaving few excuses to neglect that analysis.
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