3h ago

Matt Shumer, GP at Shumer Capital, says even optimistic forecasts underestimate AI inference market size

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Matt Shumer, GP at Shumer Capital, posted on X that even the most optimistic forecasts in the sector underestimate the eventual size of the AI inference market. Creator Alex Volkov replied by referencing recent stock performance and questioning how current market valuations align with assessments of future inference demand growth. The exchange centered on the scale of computational resources required to run trained models at production volumes.

Original post

I firmly believe that even the most optimistic people in AI are severely underestimating how big the market for inference is going to be.

9:56 AM · May 18, 2026 View on X

I firmly believe that even the most optimistic people in AI are severely underestimating how big the market for inference is going to be.

4:56 PM · May 18, 2026 · 31.9K Views

@altryne Probably a big downswing at some point, and then massive growth from there

Alex VolkovAlex Volkov@altryne

@mattshumer_ did you see the stocks today? 😂 if every the most optimistic people are underestimating, what about the stock market

5:04 PM · May 18, 2026 · 1.4K Views
5:39 PM · May 18, 2026 · 1.1K Views

@mattshumer_ did you see the stocks today? 😂 if every the most optimistic people are underestimating, what about the stock market

Matt ShumerMatt Shumer@mattshumer_

I firmly believe that even the most optimistic people in AI are severely underestimating how big the market for inference is going to be.

4:56 PM · May 18, 2026 · 31.9K Views
5:04 PM · May 18, 2026 · 1.4K Views

You know how much compute it’s going to take to double the workforce with AI coworkers

Matt ShumerMatt Shumer@mattshumer_

I firmly believe that even the most optimistic people in AI are severely underestimating how big the market for inference is going to be.

4:56 PM · May 18, 2026 · 31.9K Views
5:29 PM · May 18, 2026 · 710 Views