Nathan Labenz Sees Slim Odds for AI Bubble Burst

Nathan Labenz stated during a broadcast that he assigns a 2% chance to the event that an AI bubble bursts by the end of 2026, based on three of six crash triggers on Polymarket. He contrasted his view with Prakash's 15% guess and the market price of 9.6%. Labenz said he stands by the 2% figure and would bet against the bubble bursting, though he added that options-writing is a hard way to make a living.