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    Jeff Clune Says AI Skeptics Have Been Wrong

    AI researcher Jeff Clune reflects on the track record of forecasts about progress.

    JC
    1 Source, 24d ago, first seen 24d ago

    TLDR

    Jeff Clune, a professor of computer science at the University of British Columbia and CIFAR AI Chair, posted that skeptics of AI progress have consistently been wrong in his experience. He stated that predictions once dismissed as sci-fi or crazy have mostly proven accurate, with errors mainly in timing. Clune added that the pattern holds for tech progress more broadly and advised caution when relying on instincts to judge exponential trends.

    Combined views

    27K

    1 Source, first seen 24d ago

    Combined views

    27K

    1 Source, first seen 24d ago

    194 likes
    194 likes
    19 comments
    43 saves
    16 reposts

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    19 comments
    43 saves
    16 reposts

    Sentiment

    Positive——Negative

    Summary

    Not enough discussion yet.

    No sentiment analysis available yet.

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    1 Source

    @jeffcluneIn my life, those skeptical of AI progress and AI predictions have consistently been wrong, and those predicting things many mock as sci-fi or crazy have almost all been right, with the main errors being timing. This is true more generally for tech progress. Be wary trusting your instincts when predicting exponentials.

    1 Source

    @jeffcluneIn my life, those skeptical of AI progress and AI predictions have consistently been wrong, and those predicting things many mock as sci-fi or crazy have almost all been right, with the main errors being timing. This is true more generally for tech progress. Be wary trusting your instincts when predicting exponentials.