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Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark says AI systems will contribute to a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months and design their own successors by the end of 2028

He also forecasts AI-run companies generating millions in revenue within 18 months.

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Jack Clark: - AI will make a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months (working collaboratively with humans) - Bipedal robots will help with enterprise work ("tradespeople") in 2 years - AI systems will be able to design their own successors by year-end 2028 (i.e., RSI) - Companies run solely by AI will be generating millions of USD in revenue within 18 months - Clark's most conservative prediction is that vast swathes of the economy and society will go through profound changes, potentially including "a machine economy decoupling from the human economy, robots gaining brains, science progressing without humans, and scientific equipment that people hadn't conveived of but which worked".

8:34 AM · May 22, 2026 View on X

Anthropic's Jack Clark.

prinzprinz@deredleritt3r

Jack Clark: - AI will make a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months (working collaboratively with humans) - Bipedal robots will help with enterprise work ("tradespeople") in 2 years - AI systems will be able to design their own successors by year-end 2028 (i.e., RSI) - Companies run solely by AI will be generating millions of USD in revenue within 18 months - Clark's most conservative prediction is that vast swathes of the economy and society will go through profound changes, potentially including "a machine economy decoupling from the human economy, robots gaining brains, science progressing without humans, and scientific equipment that people hadn't conveived of but which worked".

3:34 PM · May 22, 2026 · 34K Views
8:54 PM · May 22, 2026 · 9.2K Views

From his lecture at Oxford two days ago.

Andrew CurranAndrew Curran@AndrewCurran_

Anthropic's Jack Clark.

8:54 PM · May 22, 2026 · 9.2K Views
8:54 PM · May 22, 2026 · 1.5K Views

Claude loves to use 'vertiginous' by the way.

Andrew CurranAndrew Curran@AndrewCurran_

From his lecture at Oxford two days ago.

8:54 PM · May 22, 2026 · 1.5K Views
8:55 PM · May 22, 2026 · 924 Views

Anthropics Jack Clare is super optimistic:

- End of 2028 "AI system would be able to design their own successors"

- within 12 months humans + robots will find nobel prize-winning discoverys

prinzprinz@deredleritt3r

Jack Clark: - AI will make a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months (working collaboratively with humans) - Bipedal robots will help with enterprise work ("tradespeople") in 2 years - AI systems will be able to design their own successors by year-end 2028 (i.e., RSI) - Companies run solely by AI will be generating millions of USD in revenue within 18 months - Clark's most conservative prediction is that vast swathes of the economy and society will go through profound changes, potentially including "a machine economy decoupling from the human economy, robots gaining brains, science progressing without humans, and scientific equipment that people hadn't conveived of but which worked".

3:34 PM · May 22, 2026 · 34K Views
10:21 PM · May 22, 2026 · 2.6K Views
Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark says AI systems will contribute to a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months and design their own successors by the end of 2028 · Digg