Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark says AI systems will contribute to a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months and design their own successors by the end of 2028
He also forecasts AI-run companies generating millions in revenue within 18 months.
Anthropic's Jack Clark.

Jack Clark: - AI will make a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months (working collaboratively with humans) - Bipedal robots will help with enterprise work ("tradespeople") in 2 years - AI systems will be able to design their own successors by year-end 2028 (i.e., RSI) - Companies run solely by AI will be generating millions of USD in revenue within 18 months - Clark's most conservative prediction is that vast swathes of the economy and society will go through profound changes, potentially including "a machine economy decoupling from the human economy, robots gaining brains, science progressing without humans, and scientific equipment that people hadn't conveived of but which worked".
From his lecture at Oxford two days ago.

Anthropic's Jack Clark.
Claude loves to use 'vertiginous' by the way.
From his lecture at Oxford two days ago.
Anthropics Jack Clare is super optimistic:
- End of 2028 "AI system would be able to design their own successors"
- within 12 months humans + robots will find nobel prize-winning discoverys

Jack Clark: - AI will make a Nobel Prize-winning discovery within 12 months (working collaboratively with humans) - Bipedal robots will help with enterprise work ("tradespeople") in 2 years - AI systems will be able to design their own successors by year-end 2028 (i.e., RSI) - Companies run solely by AI will be generating millions of USD in revenue within 18 months - Clark's most conservative prediction is that vast swathes of the economy and society will go through profound changes, potentially including "a machine economy decoupling from the human economy, robots gaining brains, science progressing without humans, and scientific equipment that people hadn't conveived of but which worked".