/AI2h ago

Prime Intellect's Florian Brand warns AI agent benchmarks could saturate this year as models master generic software engineering tasks

METR evaluates specialized domains like machine learning and cybersecurity.

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Florian Brand@xeophon#1117inAI

@scaling01 tasks are different, yes

Lisan al Gaib@scaling01

Cognition made a long time-horizon benchmark that should be good up to ~64 hours

Mythos had 16+ hour time horizons in April, so there's ~2 more doublings or ~210 days after Mythos until the benchmark saturates

meaning the benchmark is cooked before the end-of-the year

(unless the task distribution is different. we have already seen how time-horizons differ on different coding benchmarks)

1:18 PM · Jun 4, 2026 · 421 Views
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@scaling01 METR dataset: ML eng, GPU kernels, cybersecurity

Cog dataset: real life java/typescript/python/c# feature dev, bugfixes, migrations

From the QT

@scaling01 tasks are different, yes

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Lisan al Gaib@scaling01

@xeophon I guess generic SWE stuff is easier, so longer time horizons for these models, meaning earlier saturation?

@scaling01 METR dataset: ML eng, GPU kernels, cybersecurity

Cog dataset: real life java/typescript/python/c# feature dev, bugfixes, migrations

From the QT

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