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    Shyamal Anadkat Highlights Long Timelines for New Materials

    Research engineer notes verification limits even after AI predictions of new crystals.

    SH
    1 Source, 29d ago, first seen 29d ago

    TLDR

    Shyamal Anadkat posted that the lithium-ion battery was demonstrated in 1965 and reached ordinary consumers around 2005. He added that carbon fiber took about fifty years to travel from a lab to a commercial airplane. These timelines are limited by verification and doing experiments on human timescales, he stated. Anadkat also referenced that in late '23, GDM GNoME predicted 2.2 million new crystal structures. The post comes from the applied AI engineer formerly at OpenAI on the evals team.

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    1 Source, first seen 29d ago

    Combined views

    6.6K

    1 Source, first seen 29d ago

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    4 comments
    14 saves
    6 reposts

    Sentiment

    Positive——Negative

    Summary

    Not enough discussion yet.

    No sentiment analysis available yet.

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    1 Source

    @shyamalanadkatlithium-ion battery was demonstrated in 1965 and reached ordinary consumers around 2005. carbon fiber took about fifty years to travel from a lab to a commercial airplane. these timelines are limited by verification and doing experiments on human timescales. in late '23, GDM GNoME predicted 2.2 million new crystal structures, around 380,000 of them stable, and an autonomous lab subsequently synthesized 41 of the 58 it attempted in 17 days. that is a striking result, but notice the ratio: a model can propose millions of candidates, and the physical world can check a few dozen. in an industrial chemistry program, a failed candidate still consumes weeks or months of a scientist's time, and taking a route from bench to plant still takes years. generation has become nearly free. verification has not moved.

    1 Source

    @shyamalanadkatlithium-ion battery was demonstrated in 1965 and reached ordinary consumers around 2005. carbon fiber took about fifty years to travel from a lab to a commercial airplane. these timelines are limited by verification and doing experiments on human timescales. in late '23, GDM GNoME predicted 2.2 million new crystal structures, around 380,000 of them stable, and an autonomous lab subsequently synthesized 41 of the 58 it attempted in 17 days. that is a striking result, but notice the ratio: a model can propose millions of candidates, and the physical world can check a few dozen. in an industrial chemistry program, a failed candidate still consumes weeks or months of a scientist's time, and taking a route from bench to plant still takes years. generation has become nearly free. verification has not moved.