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    Labenz Compares Tesla Robotaxis to Waymo Timeline

    Nathan Labenz comments on Tesla robotaxis during an AI:AM broadcast.

    NL
    1 Source, 26d ago, first seen 26d ago

    TLDR

    Nathan Labenz posted that Tesla robotaxis follow the same trajectory as Waymo but sit three to four years behind while advancing somewhat faster. He noted that each increase in scale converts isolated edge cases into larger problems. The post rejects any push-button vision for deploying a billion robotaxis. Labenz also raised the separate question of whether 53 percent success rates in physical intelligence tasks can produce useful work.

    Combined views

    547

    1 Source, first seen 26d ago

    Combined views

    547

    1 Source, first seen 26d ago

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    1 Source

    @labenzTesla robotaxis, per @binarybits on AI:AM: same trajectory as Waymo, 3-4 years behind — moving a bit faster than Waymo did. The push-a-button, billion-robotaxis vision? Not how it works: each jump in scale turns one-off edge cases into a pile. https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1yxBePbdAVaJN?t=2521

    1 Source

    @labenzTesla robotaxis, per @binarybits on AI:AM: same trajectory as Waymo, 3-4 years behind — moving a bit faster than Waymo did. The push-a-button, billion-robotaxis vision? Not how it works: each jump in scale turns one-off edge cases into a pile. https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1yxBePbdAVaJN?t=2521