Mantic AI Gives Top Forecaster Deeper Iran War Insights Than Prediction Markets

Monitoring the Iran war on Polymarket and Kalshi has been a big upgrade, but it still feels like drinking the future through a narrow straw. We flew top forecaster @DrTournesol to London to ask Mantic any question he wanted about Iran. This exercise is a peak into future, not just of the war but of forecasting itself. Yann was one of the top ranked forecasters and question-askers on Metaculus last year. The best forecasters love collaborating with each other, but Yann has never had such a responsive forecasting partner as Mantic. This is like a "Claude Code moment" for understanding the future. Here are Yann's 28 key questions, most of which aren't on the prediction markets (link in reply).