AIEarly AI predictions from effective altruists and rationalists
A user recalls dismissing effective altruists’ AI forecasts and uses a hypothetical early prediction of Trump’s presidency to explain why they pay attention now.
TLDR
In a personal reflection, a user says they befriended effective altruists after their mother’s death and found meaning in donating to Against Malaria and GiveDirectly. They recall initially dismissing those friends’ predictions that AI would mimic PhD-level achievement, reshape education and become the economy’s dominant sector. To explain why they pay attention to effective altruists and rationalists, the author offers an analogy: an irritating hypothetical friend who predicted Trump’s presidency years before it happened.
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Early AI predictions from effective altruists and rationalists
A user recalls dismissing effective altruists’ AI forecasts and uses a hypothetical early prediction of Trump’s presidency to explain why they pay attention now.