Mantic AI's claimed edge over prediction markets ends at $100,000 in volume

A user says their benchmark found that Mantic AI loses its advantage over prediction markets at $100,000 in market volume. For markets with more than $1 million in volume, they say an optimal forecast still gives Mantic a 14% weight. They also say Mantic is better calibrated. The comparison covered topics including geopolitics, economics and elections, but excluded sports and crypto.