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Bostrom’s ‘Superintelligence’ and the pace of AI progress

Reflecting on the book’s opening pages, a reader calls the 2017 paper “Attention Is All You Need” a turning point and argues superintelligence is within reach in 2026.

1 Source, 21d ago, first seen 21d ago

TLDR

A reader of Bostrom’s “Superintelligence” argues that in 2015, there was no way to foresee when AI or superintelligence would become reality. They describe the 2017 paper “Attention Is All You Need” as the moment everything changed. Writing in September 2026, they argue that AI has become reality and superintelligence is within reach that year.

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1 Source, first seen 21d ago

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1 Source

Chubby♨️@kimmonismusReading the opening pages of Bostrom’s *Superintelligence*, it is remarkable to think that as recently as 2015, there was no way to foresee when artificial intelligence, let alone superintelligence, would actually become a reality. Just two years later, in 2017, everything changed with the paper "Attention Is All You Need"; another nine years on, that dream has materialized, and superintelligence is within reach this year. What was the stuff of dreams for decades is now becoming reality, and we get to witness it. Insane when you think about it.21d
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    Chubby♨️@kimmonismusReading the opening pages of Bostrom’s *Superintelligence*, it is remarkable to think that as recently as 2015, there was no way to foresee when artificial intelligence, let alone superintelligence, would actually become a reality. Just two years later, in 2017, everything changed with the paper "Attention Is All You Need"; another nine years on, that dream has materialized, and superintelligence is within reach this year. What was the stuff of dreams for decades is now becoming reality, and we get to witness it. Insane when you think about it.21d
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