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    AI Academic Skeptical of Model Capability Forecasts Beyond One Year

    NYU assistant professor Ravid Shwartz-Ziv questions predictions of specific AI abilities far in advance.

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    2 Sources, 25d ago, first seen 25d ago

    TLDR

    Ravid Shwartz-Ziv, assistant professor and faculty fellow at NYU’s Center for Data Science, posted that he knows nothing about OpenAI plans. He warned that claims about specific capabilities of a model more than a year ahead should be met with strong skepticism. The statement was shared on X in response to ongoing discussion of future AI developments. No further details on models or timelines appear in the post.

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    2 Sources, first seen 25d ago

    Combined views

    12.1K

    2 Sources, first seen 25d ago

    62 likes
    62 likes
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    2 comments
    10 saves
    1 reposts

    Sentiment

    Positive——Negative

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    2 Sources

    @ziv_ravidDon't know anything about OpenAI plans, but if someone tells you about sepcipic capabilites of a model more than a year from now, you should be very, very skeptical
    @teortaxesTexSol, Astra, "Doug", "Bel". Doesn't it sound like we're missing something? C… Chris? Canis? Was it scrapped? I also think we must have some conceptual ladder with a Galaxy for true swarm AGI.

    2 Sources

    @ziv_ravidDon't know anything about OpenAI plans, but if someone tells you about sepcipic capabilites of a model more than a year from now, you should be very, very skeptical
    @teortaxesTexSol, Astra, "Doug", "Bel". Doesn't it sound like we're missing something? C… Chris? Canis? Was it scrapped? I also think we must have some conceptual ladder with a Galaxy for true swarm AGI.