Leading AI companies intend to recruit software engineers and AI researchers to build systems automating software engineering and AI research at over 100 times current rates toward superintelligent AI
A reply questioned evidence for prior AI design advances and recursive gain assumptions.
@peterwildeford have their been any significant advances in AI design from AI yet?
your last pgh is a bit of a burden proof move that may not be fully warranted.
The plan of the leading AI companies is to: 1.) hire software engineers and AI researchers to build AIs that can automate software engineering and AI research 2.) use automated AI researchers to go >100x faster at figuring out how to automate everything else. 3.) End up with AI superintelligence that would be smarter than everyone at everything In short, use humans to build powerful AIs and use those powerful AIs improve AI recursively and rapidly... until we get a superintelligent 'successor species' that then obsoletes all of humanity. This plan sounds insane and sci-fi, but it's very much on track. It used to be that if you were a top 1% software engineer you could get a job at Google, OpenAI, or Anthropic. Now, AI writes the vast majority of the code instead of humans. And thanks to all the existing automation, even these top 1% engineers don't get hired anymore. The bar is so much higher because AI can fill in so much. Where this goes is difficult to say with certainty, but we have no evidence to rule out massive capability improvements - including "superintelligence" - in even just a few years... due to AI companies being close to automating and accelerating very large facets of AI research.