AIDecember 2024 forecasts for AI math and cybersecurity milestones
A post argues that AI progress can make expert forecasts look outdated, highlighting researchers’ December 2024 predictions for solving math problems and finding security flaws.
TLDR
A post says AI researchers’ aggregate forecasts in December 2024 put a 50% chance of AI solving a Millennium Prize problem around 2054, finding and patching a security flaw in a system with over 100,000 users in the early 2030s, and matching the best human Putnam competitors around 2030.
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December 2024 forecasts for AI math and cybersecurity milestones
A post argues that AI progress can make expert forecasts look outdated, highlighting researchers’ December 2024 predictions for solving math problems and finding security flaws.