He called the dispute a distraction from superintelligence risks.
I'm guessing: - Anthropic "agrees" to do something minor/performative bc the issue was overstated to begin with - this sort of allows the administration to "save face" (but not really) - Fable gets unblocked - and we just wasted another several days with ASI looming
Negative users criticize the administration's expected minor concessions from Anthropic on AI as cynical empty gestures that deliberately prolong harm without fixing recurring issues.
When I say "the issue was overstated" -- as I've said elsewhere, I think a plausible argument could be made that Fable/Mythos deployment is bad, but it would also likely apply to GPT-5.5.
When I say "the issue" I mean "the claim that there was some new insight revealed Friday"
@JeffLadish Talking about a manufactured crisis instead of otherwise preparing for inevitable crises, not using Fable for beneficial + research + security purposes, polarizing against one another for no reason
@Miles_Brundage In what way did we waste the days?
@Miles_Brundage In what way did we waste the days?
I'm guessing: - Anthropic "agrees" to do something minor/performative bc the issue was overstated to begin with - this sort of allows the administration to "save face" (but not really) - Fable gets unblocked - and we just wasted another several days with ASI looming
@_Jason_Dean_ They already do actual pro bono stuff, like Glasswing, IIUC...
@Miles_Brundage Maybe Anthropic does some pro bono (or at-cost) cybersecurity work for the government
@Miles_Brundage the issue is more the short-term implications of model-specific regulatory bans & how the market might interpret & value these during IPO (impacts openAI too). the precedent has been set, so the risk is magnified until 2028 at least
@Miles_Brundage ASI delayed by 2 days and you're blackpilling?
I'm guessing: - Anthropic "agrees" to do something minor/performative bc the issue was overstated to begin with - this sort of allows the administration to "save face" (but not really) - Fable gets unblocked - and we just wasted another several days with ASI looming
@_Jason_Dean_ But yes they could re-announce it somehow :)
@Miles_Brundage seems right.
i hope the messiness in these pre-ASI days help congress (and others) realize just how urgent it is that we get in place much better policy and staff up accordingly
voices like yours are helping move us in that direction.
@Miles_Brundage this probably punts any legitimate government action further down the line too
@Miles_Brundage translation: nothing changes but everyone gets to claim they won
@Miles_Brundage And the Administration demands the equity.
@Miles_Brundage that timeline math is the part that actually stings
@Miles_Brundage Maybe (hopefully), but then you end up with the same issue in a few months...
@Miles_Brundage surely all parties involved will learn from this experience on what is frankly the smallest of stakes that we will ever have going forwards and establish better norms on how to approach future concerns, right?
@Miles_Brundage Not that fast, at least one week away, government pull such stunt not just to make sure it hurt just a little. The administration will take a generous time to review and approve the fix
@Miles_Brundage What's your definition of "ASI"?
@Miles_Brundage add to that how companies may now migrate to frontier closed source models slower (bizarrely, using open source models gives them more control) (this is less of an issue fwiw, just slows everything down a bit)
@Miles_Brundage Some smart people think Fable gets unblocked in days.
I guess they're probably right.
But that's not the point.
The ban lasted long enough to break pipelines, spook clients, and prove the model is fragile.
"It got fixed" is not an infrastructure strategy.