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Predictions about harm from closed- and open-weight AI models
A reply predicts harm could trace to a closed-weight model without state-of-the-art safeguards or an open-weight model.
TLDR
In a series of replies, the author predicts that a harmful event will trace to either a closed-weight model deployed without state-of-the-art safeguards or an open-weight model. The author says there are eight further predictions: three about each pathway to harm and two about either pathway.
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