Nathan Labenz Gives 25% Odds on US OpenAI Takeover

Nathan Labenz posted from an X broadcast that he assigns a 25% probability the US government will take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030. Prakash assigned 10% in the same exchange. Labenz also relayed Prakash's comment that a former NSA director already sits on OpenAI's board. The post frames the exchange as part of an ongoing market game on AI topics. No independent confirmation of the board claim or the probabilities appears in the packet.