Musk Predicts Superhuman AI for All Digital Tasks by End of Next Year
Gary Marcus offers a million-dollar bet disputing the forecast.
TLDR
Elon Musk stated that AI will handle any digital task at a superhuman level by the end of next year, excluding work that requires shaping atoms. Guillermo Rauch replied that skeptics will soon run out of tasks AI cannot perform by 2026. Gary Marcus disputed the claim, noting Musk made a similar confident prediction two years earlier that did not occur, and offered a one-million-dollar wager if Musk replies. Several posts quote the exchange and Marcus's public challenge.
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Sources
GM 
Gary Marcus@GaryMarcusOne million dollars says you are wrong, @elonmusk. Reply if you are not a chicken. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/2094242307511853196
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- replies: 29
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RP Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_aiAbsolutely inspirational time. now this is almost a certainty, although the timeline may differ slightly, but that is not the point. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/2094242307511853196
- likes: 19
- replies: 5
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AA Aacia@parisofprairieGary Marcus has balls! Does Elon? https://twitter.com/garymarcus/status/2094525742566809899
- likes: 13
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GM Gary Marcus@GaryMarcusElon’s simps are too dumb to notice but here are the facts: Musk, April 2024: “AI is the fastest advancing technology that I've ever seen of any kind, and I've seen a lot of technology. You know barely a week goes by without some new announcement, and if you look at the amount…
- likes: 3
- replies: 1
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GM Gary Marcus@GaryMarcusElon’s simps are apparently too gullible to notice but here are the facts: Musk, April 2024: “AI is the fastest advancing technology that I've ever seen of any kind, and I've seen a lot of technology. You know barely a week goes by without some new announcement, and if you look…
- likes: 110
- replies: 13
- bookmarks: 10
- reposts: 14
RY Ryan@ryansonthepath@GaryMarcus AI isn’t actually advancing at any incredible rate. Integration of various sort has been rapid. The net effect has been to destroy software engineering as a profession and make usually semi-sane executives foam at the mouth psychotically.