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    AI-risk hardliners, fewer labs and concentrated power

    The author points to past objections to Meta’s LLaMA and Falcon-40B releases, framing the dispute as a question of AI proliferation, not just competition with China.

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    2 Sources, ,

    TLDR

    A post argues that many AI-risk hardliners favor a small set of Western labs—especially Anthropic—to build artificial superintelligence. It describes their reasoning as fewer actors meaning less racing and fewer independent errors at high capability, lowering the risk of catastrophe. The author criticizes this outlook for discounting the risks of concentrated power, citing earlier objections to Meta’s LLaMA and Falcon-40B releases to argue that concern about proliferation extends beyond competition with China.

    Combined views

    2.6K

    2 Sources, first seen 19d ago

    Combined views

    2.6K

    2 Sources, first seen 19d ago

    54 likes
    19d ago
    first seen 19d ago
    54 likes
    1 comments
    6 saves
    7 reposts

    Sentiment

    Positive——Negative

    Summary

    Not enough discussion yet.

    No sentiment analysis available yet.

    1 comments
    6 saves
    7 reposts

    Sentiment

    Positive——Negative

    Summary

    Not enough discussion yet.

    No sentiment analysis available yet.

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    2 Sources

    @teortaxesTexThere is a widespread assumption in the doomer-industrial complex that only Western labs (and really, only Anthropic; and for unaffiliated hardliners, not even Anthropic) could Responsibly build ASI, but it's really not necessary to support the race vs China argument. People have forgotten that before the Chinese wave doomers were screeching very loudly about Meta's irresponsible releases of LLaMA, even about Falcon-40B lmao. Proliferation is turbo bad. The logic is very straightforward, fewer actors = less race dynamics and fewer uncorrelated errors at high capability = lower aggregate P(Doom). They consider it very reasonable to dismiss the power concentration argument because their prior on EV for power concentrated in the US is positive, and for power concentrated in Anthropic is mildly negative to wildly positive. All these political considerations are for apes, they're thinking of the big picture here. the fresh wave of panic has much to do with OpenAI coming back to the frontier, especially after HF incident; they were at peace about Mythos.
    @sebkrierRT @teortaxesTex: There is a widespread assumption in the doomer-industrial complex that only Western labs (and really, only Anthropic; and…

    2 Sources

    @teortaxesTexThere is a widespread assumption in the doomer-industrial complex that only Western labs (and really, only Anthropic; and for unaffiliated hardliners, not even Anthropic) could Responsibly build ASI, but it's really not necessary to support the race vs China argument. People have forgotten that before the Chinese wave doomers were screeching very loudly about Meta's irresponsible releases of LLaMA, even about Falcon-40B lmao. Proliferation is turbo bad. The logic is very straightforward, fewer actors = less race dynamics and fewer uncorrelated errors at high capability = lower aggregate P(Doom). They consider it very reasonable to dismiss the power concentration argument because their prior on EV for power concentrated in the US is positive, and for power concentrated in Anthropic is mildly negative to wildly positive. All these political considerations are for apes, they're thinking of the big picture here. the fresh wave of panic has much to do with OpenAI coming back to the frontier, especially after HF incident; they were at peace about Mythos.
    @sebkrierRT @teortaxesTex: There is a widespread assumption in the doomer-industrial complex that only Western labs (and really, only Anthropic; and…