Metzger Says Yudkowsky Predictions Quantified as Terrible

Perry E. Metzger posted that someone has quantified Eliezer Yudkowsky's predictions and found them terrible. Metzger, identified in the post as a veteran computer scientist and cryptographer who moderated the mailing list where Bitcoin's whitepaper debuted, shared the remark with a link to a Twitter status. The statement attributes the quantification to an unnamed party and offers no further details on methods or results.