Google I/O is tomorrow, last chance to get predictions in. I love to guess, so here's mine:
The Google team is being strangely quiet about the new Gemini. At this point everyone knows it is arriving tomorrow, along with their personal agent named Spark. This reticence, of course, can be interpreted in many ways. I'm choosing to interpret it in accordance with my nature.
I think they trained the largest model they've ever successfully trained - possibly the largest one anyone ever has. And something unexpected emerged at scale. They had their Mythos moment, but not in the same way Anthropic did. Gemini has always been a very different model from Claude.
The benchmarks will go out tonight under embargo (they probably already are), but I don't think they will fully reflect what I'm talking about. I think they hit something they weren't even aiming for. Something that surprised them. If I'm right, that surprise will be part of tomorrow's show. We shall find out together in the morning.
