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    A prediction of superintelligence by 2030

    One post claims 10× yearly growth and argues that a plateau is still roughly three or four orders of magnitude away.

    WB
    1 Source, 16d ago, first seen 16d ago

    TLDR

    A post argues that whether AI's growth curve eventually flattens matters less than how far away that plateau is. Claiming tenfold yearly growth and a plateau roughly three or four orders of magnitude away, it predicts “superintelligence by 2030 easily.”

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    1 Source, first seen 16d ago

    likes

    Combined views

    33.6K

    1 Source, first seen 16d ago

    652 likes
    652
    23 comments
    73 saves
    20 reposts

    Sentiment

    Positive——Negative

    Summary

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    23 comments
    73 saves
    20 reposts

    Sentiment

    Positive——Negative

    Summary

    Not enough discussion yet.

    No sentiment analysis available yet.

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    1 Source

    @willcbwho cares if it’s technically a sigmoid, the plateau is like 3 or 4 OOMs away. also we’re 10x-ing every year, superintelligence by 2030 easily

    1 Source

    @willcbwho cares if it’s technically a sigmoid, the plateau is like 3 or 4 OOMs away. also we’re 10x-ing every year, superintelligence by 2030 easily