6h ago

Nate Soares, MIRI president, argues rapid AI progress undermines long-term career guides like 80,000 Hours

Tom Davidson agreed, citing the unpredictability of AI timelines.

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Original post

The world's gonna get weird. At the very least, we should not confidently predict otherwise (e.g. by claiming you'll have ~80k hours in your career). ...but enough picking on them, I hope their book does well:

9:12 AM · May 27, 2026 View on X

@So8res (And yes, back in 2016 I also had the timescales wrong, just by less than the Long Now Foundation.)

Geoffrey IrvingGeoffrey Irving@geoffreyirving

@So8res Similar complaint against a similar-but-much-worse mistake by the Long Now Foundation: https://naml.us/post/against-long-term-thinking

9:47 PM · May 27, 2026 · 455 Views
9:47 PM · May 27, 2026 · 136 Views
Nate Soares, MIRI president, argues rapid AI progress undermines long-term career guides like 80,000 Hours · Digg