At Microsoft Build today, Mustafa Suleyman predicted three more OOM jumps in the amount of training compute between now and summer 2029.
12:32 PM · Jun 2, 2026 · 13K Views
This would push frontier model training to 5e30 FLOPs.
At Microsoft Build today, Mustafa Suleyman predicted three more OOM jumps in the amount of training compute between now and summer 2029.
Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Microsoft AI says that AI compute will grow 1000x in the next 3 years
We are currently at around 5e27 FLOPs. Three more OOMs mean we reach 5e30 FLOPs in 2029.
This would push frontier model training to 5e30 FLOPs.
At Microsoft Build today, Mustafa Suleyman predicted three more OOM jumps in the amount of training compute between now and summer 2029.
Users are excited about predictions of 1000x AI compute growth by 2029 because it could enable AGI and RSI much faster than linear forecasts suggest.