Robin Hanson proposes conditional AI pause triggers to bridge the gap between accelerationists and doomers
The framework leverages differing beliefs to establish pre-agreed safety thresholds.
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Robin Hanson@robinhanson"The Hansonian in me says: the winning deal is a deal which, from the perspective of both sides' present-day beliefs & knowledge, both sides would accept, though for different reasons. If the crux is AI progress speed, then identify a set of pre-agreed triggers … [where] we…
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RG Ryan Greenblatt@RyanGreenblattI agree Plan A (AI 2040) isn't the right plan if AI is certainly a normal but important technology. But, the downside is modest and the full plan can wait for crazy capabilities. Thus if you think Plan A is good given ASI by 2040, then it's good if ASI by 2040 is plausible. I…
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