A post outlines six possible consequences of a weak European position in AI: declining relative income even if Europe grows richer; delayed or denied access to frontier capabilities; less power to steer AI development and enforce rules; reliance on foreign-hosted models for defense; diminished geopolitical relevance; and exposure to AI catastrophes Europe did not cause. It says the severity depends on AI’s future capabilities. Most of these consequences, the post argues, could arise without hostility toward Europe, through factors such as compute scarcity, security-driven staged releases, slower adoption and race dynamics.