23h ago

Forecaster Nathan Young warns that market concentration could lead to a single AI system, increasing existential risk

Tenobrus argues startups must build directly within this system.

0
Original post

@tszzl Isn’t this basically the ‘doomer’ case? If one AI company, why not one AI? If one AI, why care about humans? What separates this from thinking that we stand one AI decision away from extinction?

9:51 PM · May 25, 2026 View on X

@Suhail no startups can definitely exist in that environment just may be very minor players capturing OOMs less value relative to whoever is running this superintelligence

SuhailSuhail@Suhail

@tszzl Your belief is a few $30T companies and all of startups is near dead? Seems very zero sum!

4:32 AM · May 26, 2026 · 9.2K Views
6:43 AM · May 26, 2026 · 2.2K Views

@tszzl I wouldn't presume only a few will be running super intelligence. It could end up being 1000s. I wouldn't bet against human invention and ingenuity (combined with today's AI).

roonroon@tszzl

@Suhail no startups can definitely exist in that environment just may be very minor players capturing OOMs less value relative to whoever is running this superintelligence

6:43 AM · May 26, 2026 · 2.2K Views
6:52 AM · May 26, 2026 · 2.3K Views
Forecaster Nathan Young warns that market concentration could lead to a single AI system, increasing existential risk · Digg