What is Digg?87 Comments
- INHUMANITY, on 10/12/2007, -0/+3In the year two thousaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaand!
- hominid, on 10/12/2007, -0/+1I want an army of electronic elves!
- TomFoolery, on 10/12/2007, -0/+1Incredibly accurate. Good read. I wish I had that kind of insight of what is going to happen 11 years from now.
- drshabazz, on 10/12/2007, -0/+1The accuracy of that article suprised me. I've read similar predition articles from as short as 5-6 years ago and they always are used for jokes and laugs.
- JPamplin, on 10/12/2007, -0/+1Poor Prodigy - wiped off the map by America Online, which was at first, an Apple internal employee service. My best friend was one of the first users of the original AOL, and I had a 3-letter username on it. No longer...
It is interesting to see what they completely did not see coming. ISDN was everything, so nobody even THOUGHT about broadband over cable. Talk about disruptive technology. - serialsurfer, on 10/12/2007, -0/+1Sad that voice recognition does not get the respect is should. The topic, to me, was buried sometime in the mid nineties. I hope voice interaction with computers will make a comeback...
"Computer, post comment on digg." - pgm_01, on 10/12/2007, -0/+1Declining prices will make laser printers a familiar feature in the home; dot-matrix printers will slip into oblivion.
Finally we have that, but dot matrix was beaten in near nonexistence by the ink-jet. Optical storage was the big thing since hard drive storage was limited by the technology of the time. Experts couldn't fathom having magnetic drives into the gig range. The VCR of the future that was wished for in the article is what makes TIVO so special. ISDN gave way to DSL but cable snuck in with more bandwidth than either. But due to the limits of the technologies there are still people who rely on dial-up.
The future is always more about what we can't imagine, not what we can. - BassCadet, on 10/12/2007, -0/+1Anybody remember using Prodigy to make a post on a discussion forum and having to wait almost TWO DAYS before the post appeared. Can you imagine having an argument over the Internet and having to wait days to get a response? ROTFLMAO
- r3zonance, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0Wow, they got some of the stuff pretty much spot, granted it arrived a few years later. Kudos to the Lotus guy.
- waffle, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0kredo: and the 57 other articles in that issue (http://www.atarimagazines.com/compute/index/?issue=issue113) and thousands of other articles in the magazine (http://www.atarimagazines.com/compute/index/) were all put there just to trick you. Riiight.
- pingviini, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0"Instead of watching a movie about the Oregon Trail," Saffo says, "the kids will be able to play the role of a character." "
I loved that game back in third grade. I was the only one in my class that could make it all the way to Oregon!!! - noodhoog, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0For those who think this is fake, click on the little "compute!" pic at the top left of the article page, then hit the "Index of Compute! articles (long)" link, and you'll find the article right in there along with every other Compute! article ever.
Of course, that doesn't mean it's NOT fake for sure, but it'd be a hell of a lot of work to set up an entire archive of the whole magazine just to plant a single fake article in Digg. - serra, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0@diggerdong: I was kinda thinking the same thing. But I decided that I didn't care enough to snoop around and check it out.
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http://fuh-q.com - dvdcr, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0talking about old news LOL
- xbmodder, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0If ISDN was CHEAP i'd get it.
- grayBot, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0@BassCadet ...heheheh about Prodigy ... one of my best memories is being in third grade and have someone respond to my post on Prodigy..the next day.... posting was like waiting for an HD movie to download...
Hey Heres a question for everyone....WTF HAPPENED TO VR ????
I can remember going to epcot center in the mid -90's and the had all these prototype VR machines....one was an Aladin Game were you flew around on a carpet...it was fricking AMAZING.... only bad part was that i was dizzy and crap and needed to puke for like the rest of the night... - Elranzer, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0SOunds a lot like Windows was/is holding us back...
- sidyadav, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0Um... no, this article isn't fake or "made for digg" as some are calling it (at least its what I believe). They have most Compute! magazine articles dating back to 1980 however not all.
http://www.atarimagazines.com/compute/index/index.php
Can you imagine someone going through that effort just to get one article dugg?
And, yes, Compute! is actually a real magazine that existed in that time.
http://www.google.co.nz/search?q=%22compute!+magazine%22
One thing I don't get is that the article is only on that website and nowhere else on the web. As for the black and white pictures, it's either just the scanner they scanned it with or it has a better explaination.
Oh, and if you check below as to who wrote the article and search for them in Google (name and occupation), you'll find out they exist. - foxhoundadmin, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0optical media (dvds not cds), expert systems (can we consider google adsense an "expert system"), hdtv, and multimedia were all right one. not to mention that whole notebook/handheld thing. they hit the nail on the head with those.
they came pretty close with isdn. many networks still use it, because it's more reliable than broadband. i guess we could consider their isdn prediction in the same field as dsl-broadband.
heh, multitasking's been around for a while. it was around (sorta) when that article was written. it's only gotten stronger with time. right now's the time when parallel processing's gonna make it even better.
well, their parallel processing prediction was only off by a few years. at least they got it in the right century.
does anybody care to comment on object-oriented programming (which has been around for a while, just not in the same why they describe it) and/or voice recognition? - MrMysterious, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0Cool article, not that far off on a lot of the stuff. Much more accurate than many of the articles looking into the future.
- sudonim, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0Other than the VR home type stuff its actually amazingly good. Better than most of the predictions we make today about 2015 or 2020 will probably be. It seems though that really only in the last year we are reaching mainstream parity with most of these ideas (HDTV comse to mind) making us few years behind on even the big things. The technology for the integrated home is here now but the software apps are still not what I would call transparent (aka we still consider it to be a home theater PC not just an extension of the TV experience).
Cool Article overall. digg++ - nuclearpenguins, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0That's some funny stuff!
- thbohn, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0Even with the ISDN they are right but just the wrong country. ISDN is quite popular in Germany. BTW the acronym ISDN used to mean "Integriertes Sprach- und Datennetzwerk" in English: "Integrated Voice and Data Network".
And back then they developed something called "broadband ISDN". But it was too expensive and based on fiber optics. - mrASSMAN, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0wow they were VERY accurate back then about what would happen!
nearly all of it has come true.. except the first paragraph about talking to a giant tv or geting custom newspapers in the fax (although partially true, you can get custom newspapers by printing out google news articles..) - foxhoundadmin, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0""Instead of watching a movie about the Oregon Trail," Saffo says, "the kids will be able to play the role of a character." "
I loved that game back in third grade. I was the only one in my class that could make it all the way to Oregon!!!"
did you do it by cheating (like i did)? :P i remember there was a glitch in that game that made it so easy to cheat. i almost think apple put that in the game on purpose. OMG! it was a backdoor! where's steve when you need him!?! :P - thescreensavers, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0agrees. "The personal computer as we know it will persist longer in the home than in business," he predicts. "But by 1996–1997, they'll start to disappear. They'll become a low-end commodity like the typewriter."
lol - vatchea, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0good read, dugg...but if nostradamus wrote it, I think I woulda been even more impressed.
- adrianguru, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0For those that watch Conan O'Brian "In the year 2000......In the year 2000......."
- foxhoundadmin, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0"Instead of the notebooks we carried to school, our kids will be carrying computer note-books. And instead of keyboards, students will use electronic pens and special tablets to jot down their lecture notes. Qualcomm's Lafleur expects we'll have wallet-size computers by the year 2001. "Look at the average wallet," he says. "A dozen credit cards and notes and car insurance information. I'd want something the size of or smaller than a wallet, and all that information available to me. You could call it a smart wallet."
well, they were right about that. in 2001 apple gave thousands of ibooks and wasted millions of dollars on public school students. i still enjoyed typing notes A HELLA LOT more than "using electronic pens and special tablets to jot down my lecture notes." well, i enjoyed typing notes rather than using ink pens and loose-leaf paper to jot down my lecture notes. hey, they were right on about tablet pcs. i think they're dumb, but they're here nonetheless. not to mention, pocket pcs and handhelds. they got big in, well, 2001. - diggerdong, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0back up...how do we know this wasn't just written by some phony in 2006 who wanted a little attention?
- jay0312, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0You can search the whole page, and you will not find the word "internet"
- wolfkeeper, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0Everyone is slagging them off for getting ISDN wrong. But I'm using ASDL, and basically it's just souped up ISDN when all's said and done (different protocol, but otherwise reasonably similar). And it wasn't that long ago that ISDN was almost the only game in town. It was just too freaking expensive; there's no particular reason it couldn't have been used, but everyone's head was circuit switched all the way to the ISP; rather than terminating data circuits at the exchange. That and the telcos didn't want cheap data for everyone because it undercut their leased line business.
- b0neman, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0Internet didn't exist back then kids. It was *all* military and government eyes only. All we had to play with was our dumb modems and bulletin board systems. ISDN was the next logical step back in the late 80's. It wasn't even conceivable to include DarpaNet into the public equation. That's why Prodigy and later AOL was such a mind EFF.
This article kicks aiish. Looks like we still need to work on the VR goggles and parallel processing. - Darrooon, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0Been a while since I've seen these names: "Paul Freiberger", "Phillip Robinson".
Time to bop over to Businessland to pick up that NeXT box! - N432SEAN, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0At first I thought "Expert Systems" now there is a concept that didn't live up to the hype. Then I remembered that we just renamed the concept; its now called the "Semantic Web".
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expert_System
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Semantic_web - alphgeek, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0The lack of internet is only really glaring omission. I first accessed the usenet - via fidonet - in 1990 so it was not far off hitting the mainstream. The internet itself didn't hold much interest for me as it was mostly academic at that point.
Cost me a princely $50/month for access. But get this: I was paying $12/hour telephone charges to the BBS to link to usenet. $3,000/year phone bills for 2400bps connection... - streetstealth, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0"Such a machine, he adds, could even recognize body input, such as waving hands or swinging a bat."
Not bad; they even hit a bit of the Nintendo Revolution (or, in two dimensions, Sony's EyeToy)! - ezkiel, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0"Is it just me, or does someone always bring up the idea of the 'fridge registering the food it contains, everytime someone talks about the "future"?"
They actually have a sort of implementation of that. Its just over priced and unneccesary. Im surprised that online grocery shopping hasnt taken off better.
This article was pretty decently written considering its age. - aresef, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0Hm, Jaron Lanier is quoted. I heard him speak over the summer at the National Youth Leadership Forum on Technology. Genius, he is.
- inactive, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0It's amazing how pretty close they were on some things like HDTV, remotes and communication. But we'll probably look back at what we said in 2001 for 2011 and laugh too.
- inactive, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0The prediction about dominance of CD-ROM was pretty accurate, as in 2001 DVD-ROMs were just about to emerge.. (They were limited to movies at that time)
- jmz668, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0AOL was not an internal Apple anything. It started off as a Commodore (as in 64) BBS system called Q-Link. Check google.
- modbox, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0There is a picture of someone holding a device that looks almost the same as a DS.
- BloodShotiPod, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0So you mean to tell me they didn't have color pictures in 1989.
- lilricky, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0"90+% on the spot, except for talking to your TV...."
I use One Voice to control my homebrew PVR, check it out here:
http://www.onev.com/mcc/home2.htm - TheDarkTipper, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0Hey everyone who commented that this is from 1998, its from 1989, like the article says. And its very accurate from being 17 years ago. I cant believe how they could predict some of this stuff. Amazing.
- 42kami, on 10/12/2007, -0/+090+% on the spot, except for talking to your TV and smart wallets.
- j0keR, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0"While we laugh now, what do you think we'll see for the 22nd century, assuming WW4 doesn't happen?"
Asuming that WW4 DOES happen, I expect we'd be much farther along than if WW3/4 didn't happen at all. Nothing advances technology faster than wiping out a third of the world's population... twice. - sstacks, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0This was a really interesting article. Many of the technologies they were "wrong" about actually ended up being enabled by the Internet.
And computers *did* vaporize VCR controls... think TIVO. - Rimrose, on 10/12/2007, -0/+0Pretty Cool. A lot of the stuff was actually pretty close. Digg!
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