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- cavie2002, on 02/17/2008, -0/+74just make them all with a 3 foot power cord so they cant chase us
- wonkavsn, on 02/17/2008, -3/+68Yet another prediction destined to come true!
Now if you'll excuse me, I'm off to the Japans on my rocket pack - inactive, on 02/17/2008, -1/+63rise of the roombas
- inactive, on 02/17/2008, -9/+69At that point it's only a matter of time until our civilization reaches the Technological singularity. Basically the point in time when computer intelligence would be capable of creating a slightly smarter version of themselves, which would lead to a exponential increase in computer intelligence in a very tiny span, far surpassing how advance any human could make a computer intelligence.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singula ... - bonlebon, on 02/17/2008, -2/+55If the movie idiocracy is right, by the year 2020 a blender would have more brains than your average teenager.
- Androfire, on 02/17/2008, -6/+50In case the robots attack, Will Smith will save us.
- inactive, on 02/17/2008, -2/+44They'll make extension cords.
- inactive, on 02/17/2008, -2/+36Hopefully the kind that's really hard to untangle.
- Felco, on 02/17/2008, -2/+34I think most are missing a huge point of this article. It is about the further improvement of our species, and the major implications for the evolution of our race. Machines will cure diseases, and allow us to do some amazing things. But first we must tackle the 12 issues also stated in the article:
Make solar energy affordable
Provide energy from fusion
Develop carbon sequestration
Manage the nitrogen cycle
Provide access to clean water
Reverse engineer the brain
Prevent nuclear terror
Secure cyberspace
Enhance virtual reality
Improve urban infrastructure
Advance health informatics
Engineer better medicines
Advance personalized learning
Explore natural frontiers
We have so much promise to turn into an amazing race. I just hope we don't blow it(up). - ericdano, on 02/17/2008, -1/+28Except in the South, where they already passed them in 1986........
- micro506, on 02/17/2008, -8/+35To all interested, Ray Kurzweil "The Age of Spiritual Machines" and "The Singularity is Near" are both excellent and credible.
- DeathJux, on 02/17/2008, -2/+26And here comes the Technological Singularity...
- rssolo23, on 02/17/2008, -8/+32I'm sure a blender today already has more brains than Bush.
- LStone, on 02/17/2008, -1/+22I'll be ok up until the point I see Arnold Schwarzenegger bust through my door. Then I'll ***** myself
- gcnaddict, on 02/17/2008, -0/+20Same way he'll save us from an alien invasion, a cancer-fighting virus gone bad, etc.
- blast_flame, on 02/17/2008, -3/+19Ray kurzweil has a fairly good track record. For instance he predicted the internet, the collapse of the soviet union and was only off by one year when he predicted when a computer would beat the world champ at chess.
- chimobayo, on 02/17/2008, -0/+16prostitute robots... cant wait for them!
- Kral, on 02/17/2008, -2/+18Human-level AI is always just 50 years away, no matter what year it is.
- inactive, on 02/17/2008, -2/+18"The Singularity is Near" - great read.
- funkywood, on 02/17/2008, -5/+20I for one welcome our new nanobot overlords.
- AzureRise, on 02/17/2008, -0/+14But he's here to save us from Skynet! Oh, wait, nevermind. He's just campaigning so we re-elect him as Governator. But does he really have to kick our doors down?
- satanswetnipple, on 02/17/2008, -0/+13Thanks to brave people like Sarah Conner. Her brave attack on Cyberdine Systems saved us all. We will always remember the sacrifice of Miles Dyson. A minutes silence please....
- inactive, on 02/17/2008, -0/+12Just imagine what our parents would've thought as teenagers about the prospect of wireless telephones that work nationwide or having all the world's information available whenever you want it in most households by 2008.
- micro506, on 02/17/2008, -4/+16Exactly. The "humans vs. machines" dichotomy is pretty much non-existent in the Kurzweilian Singularity. A lot of people don't realize this and just have the "TERMINATOR LOL" reaction.
- RobotBuddha, on 02/17/2008, -1/+12Plus they did become, and still are, available. It's just that people realized pretty quickly that strapping a giant mass of flame and explosion to your back and launching around at high speed was a pretty stupid way to get from one place to another in pretty much every single possible situation.
- cygnus2112, on 02/17/2008, -5/+16This Digg is inaccurate. There's no such thing as human intelligence.
- benroy, on 02/17/2008, -1/+11Will Smith will be about sixty-five in 2029. But he could use his robot arm to shake his fist at the robots though.
- capiCrimm, on 02/17/2008, -2/+12Well it depends on the blender's size, but I know my house blender can fit one human brain. I'm pretty sure there's room for another half a brain or so. So yeah, even today that's true.
- tkcom, on 02/17/2008, -1/+11All human will match lolcats intelligence by...
...OH HAI IT HAPPENZ NAO! - prometheus507, on 02/17/2008, -2/+11...Googlebots...
- modusop, on 02/17/2008, -2/+11I just saw Kurzweil at an educational technology conference a couple weeks ago. The guy is totally out there, but his technology predictions since the 1970s have all come true thus far - very interesting man.
- damoek, on 02/17/2008, -1/+9Has anyone read this book? A dry read but damned interesting
- HaoTian, on 02/17/2008, -2/+10Because it's based on an actual thing... not just some random guess. Kurzweil came up with the "Law of Accelerated Returns", which is where these numbers come from. Check out his site at kurzweilai.net to read more about the Technological Singularity and the Law of Accelerated Returns.
- PeppermintPig, on 02/17/2008, -0/+8Are you working for the robots? ARE you a robot??
- GAARGLOX, on 02/17/2008, -2/+10Thank you! Having read the latter, reading some of the idiotic comments here is driving me up the wall.
- Elliuotatar, on 02/17/2008, -0/+7You're a human, and you're controlled. We have something called laws. What happens when a robot decides to build something and it decides that it needs supplies, and it decides that the easiest way to accuire said supplies is to take them?
Also, what would happen if we built a robot that thought exactly like a human, but this human was 10x as strong as a normal human, 10x as fast as a normal human, bulletproof, and could be made to look like any human? Maybe it will decide that robbing banks would be a good carreer move? - browwiw, on 02/17/2008, -0/+7Come with me if you want to live.
- inactive, on 02/17/2008, -3/+10In 1893, would you believe that Controlled Flight would be possible in ten years (was widely regarded as impossible, even after the wright brothers in 1903 made their historic flight, many assumed it was fraud), let alone that we'd be on the Moon in less than 75 years?
- inactive, on 02/17/2008, -3/+10***** YOU
- micro506, on 02/17/2008, -2/+9http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_accelerating_r ...
- inactive, on 02/17/2008, -0/+7Don't forget Uncle Phil
- drbhoneydew, on 02/17/2008, -0/+7There's a certain irony in Herb Simon making exactly the same prediction (Computers will match humans in 20 years or so) in 1965.
- calibration, on 02/17/2008, -1/+8iPhone: than
- smurfsahoy, on 02/17/2008, -0/+6Not really. Almost all the time when you hear people make ridiculous and clearly false technology predictions, it's some company that's trying to get your money. Kurzweil stands to gain nothing from the singularity, any more than the rest of humanity does.
- Zipko, on 02/17/2008, -0/+6It predicts the computational POWER of a human brain by then. The number of calculations per second the brain can perform is measurable, and by Moore's law computers will reach that by 2019. The problem with making computers smarter than a human is that even if you have incredible processing power you can't be 'smart' if you're just brute forcing everything. Kurzweil predicts that it will take a few more years to develop the complicated algorithms that our brain uses. Processes such as pattern recognition aren't anywhere close in computers to what the human brain can do.
- acdcfanbill, on 02/17/2008, -1/+7Hrm, would nanobots be underlords?
- GAARGLOX, on 02/17/2008, -1/+7GAAHHHH. That's not the point. Humans will (physically) be machines, machines will (mentally) be humans. There will be no Super-Computron 8000 which yells "DESTR0Y ALL HUMANS." Human intelligence right now is augmented by machines (computers, calculators, books, the abacus), and it will be in the future, it just won't necessarily have to be tied to a flesh-bag.
Read "The Singularity is Near", please. - inactive, on 02/17/2008, -0/+6I don't always read everything in sequence. Why did he put a Lost spoiler in this thread to begin with?
- imcgraw, on 02/17/2008, -2/+7Anyone in AI knows that all the latest algorithms are really just fancy statistics. Any neuro-scientist probably would consider the possibility that what's going on in the brain is just fancy statistics. That said we are more than a few decades away from understanding what's going on in there, let alone replicating it. To submit this comment I just need to fill out a captcha... shouldn't Ray's work in OCR have made captcha's moot by now?
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