2 Comments
- shadowspires, on 11/21/2007, -0/+1@reed1311 - I disagree. The premise of reason #1 is that the audience may skew to an older, retired, stay-at-home group that may favor the anti-liberty message of the mainstream candidates. Ron Paul is likely to find his base composed mainly of younger generations, working folk, more technical folk, and others that aren't reached by land line or willing to devote time to a poll.
reason #2 is obviously impacted by the MSM. The Top 3 candidates by and far get the most media mentions and therefore the most name recognition. All of the lower tier candidates deal with this as is obvious.
reason #3 is extremely compelling since the polls always focus on the core party voters and generally discount a significant percentage of the voting audience. There are countless examples of primaries where opposing party voters jump sides to vote on the other side for a favorite candidate. Happened here in Georgia when they pushed out Cynthia McKinney in the primaries be party jumpers. - reed311, on 11/20/2007, -1/+1Yes, they may affect Ron's numbers. However, they would also affect the number's of other candidates and pollsters take it into account. Regardless, there is NO WAY that it would affect his numbers in an amount that would take him from 2% to 10% and beyond. The numbers simply aren't there.


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