flickr.com— In the modern era of accelerating change in the tech industry, it is hard to find even five-year trends with any predictive value, let alone trends that span the centuries.
Jun 26, 2009View in Crawl 4
I just wish IO speed scaled up as fast as CPU power did over the past few decades. I've just upgraded to a solid state drive, but I'd hardly call it exponentially faster than the past few generations of hard drives.
Moore's Law assumes infinite energy resources.Which is what we have had with our rampant fossil fuel extraction up until now.When our society transforms (by crashing or otherwise) to one consuming less energy. There will be a significant dent made in that graph. Even ignoring energy constraints there will be no singularity. Moore's Law still has to abide by laws of physics. The current technologies are reaching their limits and there aren't any viable replacements yet. Quantum computing, Nanotechnology photonic computing are all in their infancy.
sgtbutterscotchJun 28, 2009
@nathaniel, I'm pretty sure he knows what your point is, seeing as how he purposely gave an argument against it.
sczhdtaivfeJun 28, 2009
hey kid! I'm a computer!
thecoolestguyJun 28, 2009
By 2100 we will be a trillion trillion etc etc times more advanced than today, so we can't describe what existence will be like.
falserJun 28, 2009
I just wish IO speed scaled up as fast as CPU power did over the past few decades. I've just upgraded to a solid state drive, but I'd hardly call it exponentially faster than the past few generations of hard drives.
ramilehtiJun 29, 2009
Moore's Law assumes infinite energy resources.Which is what we have had with our rampant fossil fuel extraction up until now.When our society transforms (by crashing or otherwise) to one consuming less energy. There will be a significant dent made in that graph. Even ignoring energy constraints there will be no singularity. Moore's Law still has to abide by laws of physics. The current technologies are reaching their limits and there aren't any viable replacements yet. Quantum computing, Nanotechnology photonic computing are all in their infancy.
inajeepJun 30, 2009
Math fight!