video.yahoo.com— Never mind the probabilities or the greed, this is the all-time biggest bonehead move in Deal Or No Deal history.
Oct 30, 2008View in Crawl 4
If he somehow decided to take the $603k you know damn well he's not bright enough to invest it properly. His idea of investing it properly would be spending it all on lottery tickets.
Monty Hall knows what's behind the doors. He will NEVER reveal the big prize to you with the door he eliminates. Each eliminated door has a 0% chance of hiding the big prize, so it's in your favor to swap at the end.Deal or No Deal contestants don't know what's in the cases. They CAN eliminate the big prize with every single selection. Each eliminated case has an equal chance of hiding the big prize, so even if you managed to avoid eliminating the big prize (which would never happen in Monty Hall's problem), the two remaining cases are still equally likely to hold the top prize.
Digg me down...When you are left with three boxes $1, $5, $1,000,000. All events prior are irrelevant.For discussions sake boxes 1 and 5 are crap. You get lucky and have ended up choosing the crap box on stage. So you are left with $5 and 1,000,000.So now the crap box has been presented to you. Regardless why it was shown to you. You now know one of the two boxes on stage are crap and you have the option to switch. Wouldn't this situation be the exact same scenario as it would be in the monty hall problem when your at the point to have the option to switch?
Closed AccountNov 1, 2008
If he somehow decided to take the $603k you know damn well he's not bright enough to invest it properly. His idea of investing it properly would be spending it all on lottery tickets.
speedygNov 2, 2008
Monty Hall knows what's behind the doors. He will NEVER reveal the big prize to you with the door he eliminates. Each eliminated door has a 0% chance of hiding the big prize, so it's in your favor to swap at the end.Deal or No Deal contestants don't know what's in the cases. They CAN eliminate the big prize with every single selection. Each eliminated case has an equal chance of hiding the big prize, so even if you managed to avoid eliminating the big prize (which would never happen in Monty Hall's problem), the two remaining cases are still equally likely to hold the top prize.
karldotcomNov 2, 2008
I read that title and thought you were talking about my latest hand on Texas Hold 'Em on Facebook.
minorthreatNov 3, 2008
Digg me down...When you are left with three boxes $1, $5, $1,000,000. All events prior are irrelevant.For discussions sake boxes 1 and 5 are crap. You get lucky and have ended up choosing the crap box on stage. So you are left with $5 and 1,000,000.So now the crap box has been presented to you. Regardless why it was shown to you. You now know one of the two boxes on stage are crap and you have the option to switch. Wouldn't this situation be the exact same scenario as it would be in the monty hall problem when your at the point to have the option to switch?
uknowwhoibeNov 6, 2008
@Chonoon - I knew the first was a Bible quote.The 2nd was just clever.
pinoyazraelFeb 24, 2009
this is the funniest happening on Deal or No Deal history.<a class="user" href="http://www.palabuzz.com">http://www.palabuzz.com</a>