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What do we really know about the Saudis and their oil supply? Not enough.
theoildrum.com — The following analysis is based on a chart from Frederik Robelius (see Figure 2 below) from which I retrieved the production profile for Ghawar from 1950 to 2003 (xls file). Using the Hubbert Linearization method to fit a logistic curve, we get a size estimate for Ghawar, Saudi's largest field. The evidence is interesting.
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